🏴‍☠️ TWITTER USD (TWTR-USD)

23 Comments

COMMUNICATIONS & NETWORKING | COMPUTERS, PHONES & HOUSEHOLD ELECTRONICS | ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT & PARTS | OFFICE EQUIPMENT | SEMICONDUCTORS & SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT | SOFTWARE & IT | TELECOMMUNICATIONS | MARK MAY

COMMUNICATIONS & NETWORKING | COMPUTERS, PHONES & HOUSEHOLD ELECTRONICS | ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT & PARTS | OFFICE EQUIPMENT | SEMICONDUCTORS & SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT | SOFTWARE & IT | TELECOMMUNICATIONS | MARK MAY

23 thoughts on “🏴‍☠️ TWITTER USD (TWTR-USD)”

  1. TWTR is “In Play”

    Twitter to report Q3 results tomorrow morning:

    Twitter is set to release its Q3 results tomorrow morning, with a conference call schedule for 8 AM ET. Twitter”s earnings release usually hits the wires at 7 AM ET.

    Analysts currently expect the company to report Adj-EPS of $0.20 on revenues of $875 mln (+15.4% yr/yr). mDAUs are expected to be 142 mln (vs. 139 mln in Q2). In July, the company guided for Q3 revs of $815-875 mln and operating income of $45-80 mln.

    For Q4, analysts current expect revenues of $1.05 bln (+16% yr/yr) and operating income of around $207 mln.

    In previewing tomorrow”s earnings:

    RBC says that, based on intra-quarter data points and their model sensitivity work, they view Street estimates as relatively reasonable for the September quarter, with room for TWTR”s typical upside. “In terms of the Q4:19 guide, we also view Street Revenue (21% Q/Q growth) and Operating Margin (20%) estimates as reasonable, with guidance likely to bracket.”

    Canaccord says it expects low-teens mDAU growth in Q3 on the heels of three consecutive quarters of accelerating growth, as the company”s ongoing platform health initiatives are leading to improving engagement trends. “While we are forecasting a deceleration of advertising revenue growth due to the company”s decision to phase out certain legacy ad formats and difficult comps this quarter, our recent conversations with industry participants suggest that Twitter has become a popular choice for brands looking to diversify their spend among social platforms due to the uniqueness of its timely and relevant offering.”

    Shares are unchanged since the company reported Q2 results in late July having sold off 16% since early September.

    Based on the weekly TWTR Oct25 $38.00 straddle, the options market is pricing in a move of approximately 10% in either direction by weekly expiration (Friday).

    Twitter misses by $0.06, misses on revs; guides Q4 below consensus:

    Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.14 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.06 worse than the S&P Capital IQ Consensus of $0.20; revenues rose 8.7% year/year to $824 mln vs the $875.21 mln S&P Capital IQ Consensus.

    Performance was impacted by revenue product issues and greater-than-expected seasonality. In Q3 we discovered, and took steps to remediate, bugs that primarily affected our legacy Mobile Application Promotion (MAP) product, impacting our ability to target ads and share data with measurement and ad partners. We also discovered that certain personalization and data settings were not operating as expected. We believe that, in aggregate, these issues reduced year-over-year revenue growth by 3 or more points in Q3.

    We also experienced greater-than-expected seasonality in our advertising business that began in July and continued into August. We believe our core value propositions of launching something new and connecting with what”s happening on Twitter continue to resonate very strongly with advertisers, and that slower business over the summer was due to a relatively lighter slate of big events and launches in July and August compared to 2018. We were pleased that year-over-year ad revenue growth rebounded to double digits globally in September, with the most pronounced recovery in the US. Operating income of $44 mln vs. $45-80 mln reflects lower-than-expected revenue and no significant changes to our ongoing investments

    Average monetizable daily active usage (mDAU) was 145 mln vs 142 mln ests, compared to 124 million in the same period of the previous year and compared to 139 million in the previous quarter. Average US mDAU was 30 million, compared to 26 million in the same period of the previous year and compared to 29 million in the previous quarter. Average international mDAU was 115 million, compared to 98 million in the same period of the previous year and compared to 110 million in the previous quarter.

    Co issues downside guidance for Q4, sees Q4 revs of $940-1010 mln vs. $1.05 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus. Operating income to be between $130-170 mln vs. $207 mln ests.

    TWTR, (Trade) has reported earnings of 0.14 per share versus last year’s earnings of 0.21 per share.

    Twitter down 18% at 7-month low after missing Q3 estimates and guiding down Q4, weghing on social media peers:

    Twitter cited product issues and seasonality in July and August

    TWTR -17.56% SNAP -1.06% PINS -0.74% FB -0.48%

    Twitter leading media stocks lower after pointing to seasonality as well as product challenges in its advertising business

    Twitter missed third quarter estimates and guided fourth quarter below consensus.

    The microblogging website cited product bugs, which are still being worked out, and more seasonality in July and August — Twitter benefits from activity and discussions around live events and the summer months were slow.

    TWTR -18.43% LGF.A -4.27% AMCX -2.56% DISCA -2.34% T -1.95% DISH -1.89% MSGN -1.88% FOXA -1.74% VIAB -1.78% CBS -1.64% TTD -1.64% PBS -1.42% OMC -1.36% FB -1.36%

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360/

  2. TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Twitter advances 4% on higher than average call option activity Options seeing the highest volume for TWTR at this juncture are Weekly Nov22 30 calls, which see interest with 17480 contracts trading vs open int of 4190, pushing implied vol up around 8 points to ~43%, and Weekly Nov22 30.5 calls, which sees 12150 contracts trading vs open int of 940, pushing implied vol up around 5 points to ~45%. Calls currently outpace puts by a ratio of 6.7:1 vs an average ratio of 2:1.

    Adjusted Buy Stop to 30.37. from 29.27.

    Acquired at approximately 29.27. (Shares: 1) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 29.27.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360/

  3. TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Twitter announces intention to offer $600 mln in senior unsecured notes offering TWTR announces its intention to offer, subject to market conditions and other factors, $600 mln aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes due in 2027 in a private placement to persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers.

    The notes will be unsecured, senior obligations of TWTR, and interest will be payable semi-annually in arrears. The interest rate and other terms of the notes are to be determined through negotiations between Twitter and the initial purchasers.

    TWTR intends to use the net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, which may include capital expenditures, investments, repayment of debt, working capital and potential acquisitions and strategic transactions.

    Adjusted Buy Stop to 30.43. from 30.37.

    Acquired at approximately 30.37. (Shares: 1) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 29.82.

    Transferred 100% of Trade Money to Investment Money (Shares: 2) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 35.0867.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360/

  4. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Adjusted Multiplier to 2. from 1.

    Adjusted Buy Stop to 32.96. from 32.79.

    Adjusted Sell Stop to ASSESSING. from 32.21.

    Acquired at approximately 32.79. (Shares: 1) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 32.79.

    Converted 100% of Investment/Trade Money at approximately 32.21. (Shares: 1) generating about +5.8495% of NEW Commission FREE Cash Reserve.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360/

  5. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Adjusted Multiplier to 1. from 2.

    Adjusted Buy Stop to 33.14. from 34.06.

    Adjusted Sell Stop to ASSESSING. from 33.39.

    Acquired at approximately 34.06. (Shares: 2) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 34.06.

    Converted 100% of Investment/Trade Money at approximately 33.39. (Shares: 3) generating about +1.4789% of NEW Commission FREE Cash Reserve.

    OPTIONS ASSESSMENT:
    TWTR JAN 21 2022 $65.00 CALL
    TWTR JAN 21 2022 $18.00 PUT

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360/

  6. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    If you like to make money, then do what I do; not what I say

    Adjusted Multiplier to 32.241513. from 41.000000.

    Adjusted Buy Stop to ASSESSING. from 24.27.

    Adjusted Sell Stop to 29.58. from ASSESSING.

    Acquired at approximately 24.27. (Shares: 41.000000) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 24.98.

    Transferred 100% of Trade Money to Investment Money (Shares: 79.000000) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 25.55.

    Converted 100% of Investment/Trade Money at approximately ASSESSING. (Shares: ASSESSING) generating about +ASSESSING% of NEW Commission FREE Cash Reserve.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/?post_id=885403445152360

  7. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Multiplier (X) to 10.552763. from 32.241513.

    Buy Stop Limit (BSL) to 32.35. from ASSESSING.

    Sell Stop Limit (SSL) to ASSESSING. from 29.58.

    Converted Investment (I) to Cash Reserve (CR) at approximately 29.58. (Share: 84) generating about +15.77% ROI (Return on Investment).

    Just to reiterate, I placed the following order(s):
    + Buy 10. Shares @ 32.35; Limit: 32.35. & Stop: 32.34.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/?post_id=885403445152360

  8. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Multiplier (X) to 9.332735. from 10.552763.

    Buy Stop Limit (BSL) to 36.58. from 32.35.

    Sell Stop Limit (SSL) to 32.45. from ASSESSING.

    Converted Cash Reserve (CR) to Trade (T) at approximately 32.35. (Share: 10) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 32.35.

    Converted Trade (T) to Investment (I) (Share: 10) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 32.35.

    Just to reiterate, I placed the following order(s):
    + Buy 9. Shares @ Limit Price: 36.58.
    – Sell 10. Shares @ Limit Price: 32.45.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/?post_id=885403445152360

  9. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Multiplier (X) to 8.506738. from 9.632299.

    Buy Stop Limit (BSL) to ASSESSING. from 35.44.

    Sell Stop Limit (SSL) to 38.91. from 33.96.

    Converted Cash Reserve (CR) to Trade (T) at approximately 35.44. (Share: 9) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 35.44.

    Converted Trade (T) to Investment (I) (Share: 9) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 33.8137.

    Just to reiterate, I placed the following order(s):
    – Sell 19. Shares @ Limit Price: 38.91.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360

  10. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Multiplier (X) to 13.585627. from 6.778179.

    Buy Stop Limit (BSL) to 48.28. from XXXX.

    Sell Stop Limit (SSL) to XXXX. from 50.37.

    Converted Investment (I) to Cash Reserve (CR) at approximately 50.37. (Share: 19) generating about +48.96% ROI (Return on Investment).

    Just to reiterate, I placed the following order(s):
    + Buy 13. Shares @ Limit Price: 48.28.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/493863300973045/permalink/885403445152360

  11. #TWTR IS IN PLAY

    Multiplier (X) to 14.227725. from 13.585627.

    Buy Stop Limit (BSL) to 45.25. from 48.28.

    Converted Cash Reserve (CR) to Trade (T) at approximately 48.28. (Share: 13) bringing the Average Price Paid (APP) to about 48.28.

    Just to reiterate, I placed the following order(s):
    + Buy 14. Shares @ Limit Price: 45.25.

    Data:
    http://xiimm.net/collective/2021/01/17/twitter-usd-twtr-usd/

    Graphics:
    http://xiimm.net/collective/twtr/

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